Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Boko Haram Attacks and its Effects on Education in Northern Nigeria (2009-2020)

Authors

  • Adewale Akingbade African Regional Institute for Geospatial Information Science and Technology, Ile Ife
  • Afolabi Olabamiji African Regional Institute for Geospatial Information Science and Technology, Ile Ife
  • Olayinka Ajala African Regional Institute for Geospatial Information Science and Technology, Ile Ife

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.51986/ijss-2022.vol2.01

Keywords:

Boko-Haram, Fatalities, Attack, SDGs, Education, Geospatial technology

Abstract

The persistent attacks from Boko Haram have been issues of concern to the Nigerian government and its citizens. The study assessed spatio-temporal pattern of attacks by Boko-Haram insurgents and its effects on education in the Northern Region of Nigeria between 2009 and 2020 with specific objectives of ascertaining the pattern of the attacks, and appraising the trend of attacks’ fatalities over time, and reviewing the effects of the attacks on education. The study covered all three geopolitical zones (19 States with FCT) in the Northern Region of Nigeria. Data on Boko-Haram attacks were obtained from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) database. Nearest Neighbourhood Analysis and Geographically Weighted Regression on ArcGIS 10.8 were analytical techniques adopted in this study. Results with a negative Z-value of -88.62 indicated the clustered pattern of Boko-Haram at an observed mean distance of 1213 metres from one attack to another. There were 28 792 reported fatalities due to Boko-Haram attacks from 2009 and 2020. Boko Haram has affected the education system of the Northern Region of Nigeria through attacks and abduction of students. The study revealed that geospatial technology has the potential to analyse and monitor insecurity issues, and it is thus recommended that geospatial technology need to be integrated into security surveillance and operation to curb the challenges of insecurity on education, not only in the northern region but the entire space of Nigeria, so that Sustainable Development Goal Four (quality education for all) can be achieved.

References

Akinyetun, T. S. (2017). Economic Consequences of Terrorism in Nigeria: Implications for National Development CUM National Security. Global Journal of Economics and Finance, 1 (1), 15-27.

Bakwai, B., Yisa, H. M., & Jega, M. A. (2014). Insecurity in Northern Nigeria and Girls Participation in Basic Primary Schools: Planning for Peace Culture. In N.M. Abraham, D. O. Durosaro, G. G. Kpae, C. E. Edemenang, J. E. Okon and I. O. Odiba (eds.). Managing and Planning Education for Peace Building in Nigeria: Themes and Perspectives (pp. 27-33). Port Harcourt, Nigeria: University of Port Harcourt Press Ltd.

Egunjobi, T. A. (2021). Poverty, Unemployment and Insecurity Challenges in Nigeria. Tanzanian Economic Review, 11(1), 115-136.

Forbes, (November, 20, 2019). Terrorist Targets: The Ten Countries Which Suffer Most from Terrorism. https://www.forbes.com/sites/dominicdudley/2019/11/20/ten-countries-terrorism/?sh=7e145ee84db8

Mbagwu, J. U., & Obileye, A. A. (2019). Communal Insecurity Issues in Nigeria: Clarifications and Propositions. Journal of Behavioural Informatics, Social-Cultural and Development Research, 5(1), 31-42.

Nte, N. D., Abdulaziz, B. A., & Uzorka, M. (2020). Understanding Geospatial Intelligence and the Challenges of Effective Counter-Terrorism Strategy: A Case Study of Nigeria’s Boko Haram Challenge. Unnes Law Journal, 6(2), 163-186. https://doi.org/10.15294/ulj.v6i2.38741

National Bureau of Statistics (2010). Annual Abstracts of Statistics, 2010. https://www.nigerianstat.gov.ng/download/71

Osarense, E. & Lawrence, C. (2020). Is Unemployment the Root Cause of Insecurity in Nigeria? International Journal of Social Inquiry, 13(2), 487-507. https://doi.org/10.37093/ijsi.837697

Ozdeser, H., Cavusoglu, B. T., & James, O. T. (2019). The Boko Haram Terrorism and Nigerian Economic Contraction. Arabian Journal of Business and Management Review, 8(4), 47-80. https://platform.almanhal.com/Files/Articles/139556

Ozoigbo, B. I., (2019). Insecurity in Nigeria: Genesis, Consequences and Panacea. European Journal of Social Sciences Studies, 4(4), 270-281. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3531844

Premium Time (22nd June, 2021). Timeline: Seven Years After Chibok, Mass Kidnapping of Students Becoming Norm in Nigeria. https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/top-news/469110-timeline-seven-years-after-chibok-mass-kidnapping-of-students-becoming- norm-in-nigeria.html

Premium Times (February, 27, 2021). Timeline: Nigeria’s alarming trend of mass abduction of school children. https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/headlines/445582-timeline-nigerias-alarming- trend-of-mass-abduction-of-school-children.html

Punch (June, 14, 2021). 936 students abducted from Nigerian schools in six months. https://punchng.com/936-students-abducted-from-nigerian-schools- in-six-months/

Punch (September 2, 2021). Over 5,890 terrorists surrendered -DHQ. https://punchng.com/over-5890-terrorists-surrendered-dhq/

Stoddard, E. (2019). Revolutionary warfare? Assessing the character of competing factions within the Boko Haram insurgency. African Security, 12(3-4), 300-329. https://doi.org/10.1080/19392206.2019.1668632

The Guardian (15th May 2014). Chibok: the village that lost its daughters to Boko Haram. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/may/15/chibok-nigeria- 200-kidnapped-schoolgirls-boko-haram

The Guardians (March 18, 2014) Nigerian State Closes Schools Amid Fears of Boko Haram Attacks. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/18/nigeria-state-closes-schools-fears-boko-haram

The Guardians (27th October, 2014). Boko Haram Abductees Tell of Forced Marriage, Rape, Torture and Abuse. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/oct/27/boko-haram-forced-marriage-rape-torture-abuse-hrw-report

The Nation (25th April, 2021). I lost my parents, pregnant sister, other siblings to Boko Haram in one day. https://thenationonlineng.net/i-lost-my-parents-pregnant-sister-other-siblings-to-boko-haram-attack-in-one-day/

Time Premiums (6th August, 2021). Kidnapping for ransom: Can Nigeria survive the “third wave”? By Jibrin Ibrahim. https://www.premiumtimesng.com/opinion/477805-kidnapping-for-ransom-can-nigeria-survive-the-third-wave-by-jibrin-ibrahim.html

UNICEF (2021). Education. https://www.unicef.org/nigeria/education

United Nations (29th September 2017). Over Half of Schools Remain Closed in Epicentre of Boko Haram Crisis in Nigeria–UNICEF. https://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/blog/2017/09/over-half-of-schools-remain- closed-in-epicentre-of-boko-haram-crisis-in-nigeria-unicef/

United Nations (2015). The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.https://sdgs.un.org/goals

Vanguard (29th August, 2021). Terrorist Attack on NDA. https://www.vanguardngr.com/2021/08/terrorist-attack-on-nda/

Vanguard (31st July, 2021). Boko haram ambushes security operatives escorting APC stakeholders from ward Congresses in Borno North. https://www.vanguardngr.com/2021/07/boko-haram-ambushes-security-operatives- escorting-apc-stakeholders-from-ward-congresses-in-borno-north/

Vanguard (18th June, 2021). Timeline Of Abductions in Schools. https://www.vanguardngr.com/2021/06/timeline-of-abductions-in-schools/

Vanguard (2nd March 2021). Shutting Down Boarding Schools Is Complying with Boko Haram Demands – Analyst. https://www.vanguardngr.com/2021/03/shutting-down-boarding-schools-is-complying-with-boko-haram-demands/

Vanguard (September 25, 2020). Terrorists kill 3 soldiers, 8 policemen, 4 others on Zulum’s convoy. https://www.vanguardngr.com/2020/09/shockerterrorists-kill-3-soldiers-8-policemen-4-others-on-zulums-convoy/

Vanguard (September, 26, 2020). Zulum laments death of 11 security personnel ambush by Boko Haram. https://www.vanguardngr.com/2020/09/zulum-laments-death-of-11-security-personnel-ambush-by-boko-haram/

Wonah, E. I. (2018). Sustainable Development, Generational Justice and Insecurity in Nigeria. International Journal of Development and Sustainability, 7 (3), 1015-1025.

World Bank (2019). Population Growth (Annual%)–Nigeria. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.GROW?locations=NG.

Published

2022-01-01

How to Cite

Akingbade, A. ., Olabamiji, A. ., & Ajala, O. . (2022). Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Boko Haram Attacks and its Effects on Education in Northern Nigeria (2009-2020). Interdisciplinary Journal of Sociality Studies, 2, 1-16. https://doi.org/10.51986/ijss-2022.vol2.01