Counting the homeless in Papua New Guinea 2024 population and housing census

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.38140/ijrcs-sc-2023.vol5.01

Keywords:

Homelessness Papua New Guinea, National Population and Housing Census, Single-contact census, Capture-recapture method.

Abstract

The 2011 population census in Papua New Guinea (PNG) failed to generate reliable data due to logistical constraints and inadequate capacity. Addressing this, this conceptual communication analyses the benefits of using single contact census, capture-recapture method, and indirect estimation to enumerate the homeless population in the PNG 2024 Census. The study argues that, owing to the distinct geographical distribution of the homeless in urban locales, the single-contact census and the capture-recapture method emerge as the most suitable strategies for the 2024 enumeration. The exploration meticulously outlines the practical assumptions imperative for deploying these techniques, emphasizing their pivotal role in ensuring an accurate representation of the homeless demographic. This paper serves as a pivotal guide to adapting and refining enumeration methodologies to overcome challenges witnessed in the previous PNG census. The study concludes by explaining the practical assumptions for using the single-contact census and the capture-recapture method in the PNG 2024 census.

Author Biographies

Olugbenga A IGE, The National Research Institute [PNGNRI], Port Moresby

Senior Research Fellow and Program Leader (National Security and International Relations Research Program, NSIRRP).

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6505-2114

Peter A Amosun, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria

Professor and Head of Department

https://orcid.org/0009-0009-9377-5991

Logo Lotu, The National Research Institute [PNGNRI], Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea

The Grounds and Facilities Manager

References

Bourke, M. & Allen, B. (2 February 2021). What is the population of Papua New Guinea? Accessed 20 September 2023 at https://devpolicy.org/what-is-the-population-of-papua-new-guinea-20210202-1/.

CountryReports (2023). Papua New Guinea Geography. Accessed 26 September 2023 at https://www.countryreports.org/country/PapuaNewGuinea/geography.htm.

Cowan, C.D., Breakey, W.R., & Fischer, P.J. (1988). The Methodology of Counting the Homeless. Available from: Institute of Medicine (US) Committee on Health Care for Homeless People. Homelessness, Health, and Human Needs. Washington (DC): National Academies Press (US). https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK218229/.

Darcy, L., & Jones, D. L. (1975). The size of the homeless men population of Sydney. Australian Journal of Social Issues, 10:208-215. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1839-4655.1975.tb00551.x.

Standish, W., & Jackson, R.T. (16 September 2023). Papua New Guinea. Accessed 26 September 2023 at https://www.britannica.com/place/Papua-New-Guinea.

Hill, K. (2001). Demographic Techniques: Indirect Estimation. In Neil J. Smelser & Paul B. Baltes (Eds), International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral Sciences, Pergamon, 2001, 3461-3464. https://doi.org/10.1016/B0-08-043076-7/02094-5.

Monserrat, M.R. and Cerdá, J.C.M. Estimation with the capture-recapture method of the number of economic immigrants in Mallorca. Aten Primaria, 15 de may. 29(8): 463-468. www.atencionprimaria.com/47.044.

Nagwa. (2023). Question Video: Using the capture-recapture method to estimate population size. Accessed 20 September 2023 at https://www.nagwa.com/en/videos/405196859415/.

The New World Encyclopedia. Papua New Guinea. Accessed 26 September 2023 at https://www.newworldencyclopedia.org/entry/Papua_New_Guinea.

The European Union. (8 May 2019). Indirect estimation. Accessed 20 May 2023 at https://cros-legacy.ec.europa.eu/content/indirect-estimation_en.

The National Statistical Office. (2011). National Population Housing Census. Accessed 19 September 2023 at https://www.nso.gov.pg/census-surveys/national-population-housing-census/.

The United States Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). (11 September 2023). The World Factbook. Papua New Guinea. East and Southeast Asia. Accessed 26 September 2023 at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/papua-new-guinea/.

Published

2023-09-28

How to Cite

IGE, O. A., Amosun, P. A., & Lotu, L. (2023). Counting the homeless in Papua New Guinea 2024 population and housing census . Interdisciplinary Journal of Rural and Community Studies, 5, 1-5. https://doi.org/10.38140/ijrcs-sc-2023.vol5.01